Note: This took an unbelievable amount of times to do accurately. The math got extremely complicated after the teams with a 90%+ besides those already eliminated. I am probably going to not do the NFC percentages this season and work on a code that would be a really cool feature for the league.
Note 2: Whichever commissioner evaluates this. I’m not asking for anything crazy but this genuinely took me 3 hours so more than 1 point would be appreciated.
Note 3: These are using advanced analytics and simulation/predicted odds and scores, not based on my opinions at all. Just Math.
The Eliminated Crew
Steelers
Browns
Jets
Texans
Jaguars
Patriots
The Race For a Chance
Jaguars: 99.41%
Raiders: 98.12%
Bills: 83.16%
Bengals: 72.50%
Dolphins: 59.45%
Colts: 58.59%
Ravens: 40.85%
Chiefs: 11.36%
Titans: 4.4%
Broncos: >0.1%