AFC Playoff Percentages

Note: This took an unbelievable amount of times to do accurately. The math got extremely complicated after the teams with a 90%+ besides those already eliminated. I am probably going to not do the NFC percentages this season and work on a code that would be a really cool feature for the league.

Note 2: Whichever commissioner evaluates this. I’m not asking for anything crazy but this genuinely took me 3 hours so more than 1 point would be appreciated.

Note 3: These are using advanced analytics and simulation/predicted odds and scores, not based on my opinions at all. Just Math.

The Eliminated Crew

Steelers

Browns

Jets

Texans

Jaguars

Patriots

The Race For a Chance

Jaguars: 99.41%

Raiders: 98.12%

Bills: 83.16%

Bengals: 72.50%

Dolphins: 59.45%

Colts: 58.59%

Ravens: 40.85%

Chiefs: 11.36%

Titans: 4.4%

Broncos: >0.1%