I initially knew I wouldn’t be able to do these until AFTER next week’s games because the math by hand and the program I use along with it would take hours upon hours of work to do with 6 games left. I was bored and dumb and tried anyway and was able to do some of the AFC before I hit the p*** covered wall that is the AFC West. I am not touching that with a 20 foot pole and as a result, I have just a sneak preview of some AFC team’s percentages and I’ll do the entire NFC and AFC after all of next week’s games are done. These percentages are going to be a little different as to get it done I had to make some approximations and therefore the numbers are slightly lower than they should be but that’s just for this week. > means greater than for the dummies that don’t know.
As always, these are not based on opinions but calculated based on simulated probabilities of each game and take a lot of time and effort even when it seems simple @ whoever is evaluating points fo this.
Basically Clinched
Bengals: >99%
Jaguars: >99%
Ravens: >99%
Texans: >98.6%
The Rest For Now
Dolphins: >77.5%
Jets: >47.5%
Colts: >36.8%
