Early separation begins as contenders establish identity
Two weeks into Season 4 and the league already looks familiar at the top — but the middle tiers are shifting fast. ELO movement shows who truly improved in the offseason and who may already be chasing the pack.
🏆 ELITE TIER — The Championship Circle
1. Eagles (1740 | 19-2 | +3)
Philadelphia continues to sit on the throne. They rarely beat themselves and still control games from start to finish.
2. Browns (1722 | 15-6 | +19)
The defending champs still look dangerous. Cleveland’s jump confirms last season wasn’t a fluke.
3. Steelers (1704 | 17-2 | +5)
Pittsburgh remains one of the most consistent teams in the league. Physical, disciplined, and always playoff ready.
4. Colts (1668 | 19-2 | +8)
The Colts keep stacking wins. Efficiency remains their defining trait.
5. Bears (1654 | 17-3 | +6)
Chicago continues to dominate defensively — still one of the toughest matchups weekly.
6. Packers (1622 | 14-6 | +7)
Green Bay’s steady climb keeps them firmly among title contenders.
7. Giants (1606 | 15-5 | -10)
A slight dip, but New York is still elite. They’ll rebound quickly.
8. Raiders (1602 | 13-7 | +23)
The biggest riser in the top tier. Vegas looks ready to challenge the AFC heavyweights.
🔥 CONTENDER TIER — Playoff Threats Emerging
9. Saints (+28) — One of the hottest teams in the league right now
10. Chargers (-23) — Still dangerous but searching for rhythm
The Saints are surging while the Chargers try to stabilize after a rough stretch.
⚖️ AVERAGE TIER — The Crowded Middle
11. Broncos (+12) – Improving steadily
12. 49ers (-28) – Early stumble after strong expectations
13. Buccaneers (+9) – Competitive every week
14. Seahawks (+14) – Trending upward
15. Rams (+15) – Quietly improving
16. Commanders (-9) – Looking for consistency
This tier will decide most playoff spots — nearly every team here feels one run away.
🚨 STRUGGLING TIER — Urgency Mode
17. Panthers (-40) – Biggest drop of the week
18. Dolphins (+23) – Signs of life
19. Chiefs (-8) – Still rebuilding identity
20. Cowboys (-7) – Searching for direction
21. Ravens (-3) – Competitive but not finishing
22. Falcons (+40) – Huge improvement week
23. Bengals (-5) – Offense inconsistent
24. Jets (-23) – Major regression
25. Bills (-15) – Tough start continues
26. Vikings (-6) – Close losses piling up
27. Lions (+33) – Young roster improving
Some teams here are better than their record — but time runs out fast in PML.
🔄 REBUILD TIER — Development Year
28. Titans (+31) – Encouraging progress
29. Jaguars (-12) – Competitive but unstable
30. Cardinals (-33) – Major reset needed
31. Texans (-31) – Youth movement continues
32. Patriots (-14) – Full rebuild underway
📊 Week 2 Takeaways
- Raiders and Saints are early risers
- Panthers and 49ers take major early hits
- The elite tier remains stacked — repeating will be difficult
- The middle of the league is wide open heading into Week 3
