Quantifying Who Won The Draft

Using the amount of draft picks, and the DRAFTED overall of teams draft picks, I quantified who had the best draft and put it in order so we can see who cashed in and who folded on draft day.

Formula: (Avg Drafted Overall) x (P/7) = Draft Score

P stands for total picks and it is over 7 to boost your score if you had more than the typical 7 and lower your score if you had less than 7. Quality and Quantity make up your score by using the average drafted overall alongside the total picks. I chose to use drafted overall since this is meant to reflect who won draft day. Development and switching players to match schemes is user dependent and a great way to capitalize beyond draft day but this is only evaluating that. This formula doesn’t take into account positional value which should be noted. This formula doesn’t take into account UDFAs as well. This Formula weighs more picks significantly better which I agree with fundamentally but once again it’s worth noting that those who traded for high picks to get a position of need like quarterback didn’t do a bad thing, this formula isn’t dynamic enough to account for that. This is content, not fact, just a lens to view the draft through. Finally, this formula doesn’t take age, dev, or where in the draft players were drafted into consideration because once again it is just evaluating the talent drafted ON draft day and has nothing to do with the development to come for each player.

Key Points
Clearly, this formula is flawed for now as average drafted overall is acting as a tiebreaker with total draft picks dominating what determines draft rating.

The lowest draft rating was the Steelers at 37.71 followed closely by the Cowboys at 38
The highest draft rating was the Panthers 145.71 followed by the Buccaneers at 127.86

The Average ranks behind just 13 of the 32 PML teams due to this flaw as teams like the Patriots, Chargers, Buccaneers, and Panthers hoarded 5+ extra picks over the standard 7 which doesn’t evenly balance with the minimum of 4 draft picks leading to higher disparity of draft picks from those top teams to the ones with just 4, 5, 6, or even 7.

The highest average drafted overall was 73.29 from the Ravens followed closely by 73.25 from the Titans.
The lowest average drafted overall was 64.86 from the Lions with the next closest being a full 1.14 lower as a flat 66 from the Steelers. That is also 4.64 below the league average.

There were 6 teams with 4 picks (Steelers, Cowboys, Broncos, Bears, Cardinals, Titans)
7 teams with 5 picks (Seahawks, Bengals, Browns, Eagles, Jaguars, Jets, Colts)
3 teams with 6 picks (Falcons, Giants, 49ers)
6 teams with 7 picks (Lions, Packers, Vikings, Raiders, Chiefs, Ravens)
3 teams with 8 picks (Rams, Commanders, Dolphins)
2 teams with 9 picks (Bills, Saints)
1 team with 10 picks (Texans)
1 team with 12 picks (Patriots)
2 teams with 13 picks (Chargers, Buccaneers)
1 team with 15 picks (Panthers)