Regression has officially taken PML by storm. Some can say they were prepared for the regression storm, however, most teams didn’t expect it to hit them that hard. In this article we will take a look at the after numbers of regression and see which teams were hit the hardest and which teams came out unscathed.
Bills: (7 to 5) – QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs, WR Cole Beasley, DT Ed Oliver, MLB Tremaine Edmunds, CB Tre’Davious White, FS Micah Hyde
Dolphins (8 to 3) – QB Tua Tagovailoa, HB Salvon Ahmed, WR Will Fuller, WR Jaylen Waddle, RT Mitchell Schwartz, ROLB Andrew Van Ginkel, CB Xavien Howard, CB Byron Jones
Jets (7 to 4) – HB Michael Carter, WR Elijah Moore, LT Terron Armstead, LT Mekhi Becton, LE John Franklin-Myers, ROLB Blake Cashman, FS Marcus Maye,
Patriots (3) – RT Trent Brown, CB Stephon Gilmore, FS Devin MCcourty,
Bengals (4 to 3) – HB Joe Mixon, WR Ja’Marr Chase, FS Jessie Bates, SS Vonn Bell
Browns (3) – HB Nick Chubb, WR Odell Beckham Jr, RE Myles Garrett
Ravens (8 to 6) – Lamar Jackson, WR Marquise Brown, LT Ronnie Stanley, RE Calais Campbell, LOLB Odafe Oweh, MLB Patrick Queen, CB Marlon Humphrey, K Justin Tucker
Steelers (6 to 5) – HB Najee Harris, WR Chase Claypool, RE Cameron Heyward, LOLB T.J Watt, MLB Devin Bush, FS Minkah Fitzpatrick
Colts (6 to 4) – HB Jonathan Taylor, WR Michael Pittman, LG Quenton Nelson, LE Kwity Paye, DT DeForest Buckner, LOLB Darius Leonard
Jaguars (5 to 3) – QB Trevor Lawrence, MLB Myles Jack, ROLB Josh Allen, CB Shaquill Griffin, K Josh Lambo
Texans (2 to 1) – WR Christian Kirk, ROLB Zach Cunningham,
Titans (2 to 1) – HB Derrick Henry, FS Kevin Byard
Broncos (4 to 1) – WR Tim Patrick, RE Shelby Harris, LOLB Von Miller, CB Patrick Surtain
Chargers (5 to 4) – Austin Ekeler. WR Keenan Allen, WR Mike Williams, LOLB Joey Bosa, SS Derwin James
Chiefs (6) – QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce, LE Chris Jones, CB L’Jarius Sneed, FS Tyrann Mathieu
Raiders (5 to 3) – WR Darnell Moss, TE Darren Waller, LE Maxx Crosby, CB Casey Hayward, SS Johnathan Abram
Cowboys (9 to 6) – QB Dak Prescott, HB Ezekiel Ellot, WR Amari Cooper, LT Tyron Smith, RT Zach Martin, LE DeMarcus Lawerence, DT Neville Gallimore, RE Randy Gregory, ROLB Micah Parsons,
Eagles (8 to 4) – C Jason Kelce, RG Brandon Brooks, RT Lane Johnson, LE Brandon Graham, DT Fletcher Cox, RE Josh Sweat, CB Darius Slay, FS Anthony Harris
Football Team (7 to 6) – HB Antonio Gibson, WR Terry McLaurin, RG Brandon Scherff, DT Jonathan Allen, RE Chase Young, MLB Jamin Davis, CB William Jackson
Giants (6 to 3) – HB Saquon Barkley, WR Kenny Golladay, WR Darius Slayton, RE Leonard Williams, CB James Bradberry, CB Adoree Jackson
Bears (3 to 2) – QB Justin Fields, LE Akiem Hicks, LOLB Khalil Mack
Lions (4 to 3) – TE TJ Hockenson, RT Penei Sewell, ROLB Montrel Meander, CB Jeff Okudah
Packers (9 to 8) – QB Aaron Rodgers, HB Aaron Jones, WR Davante Adams, WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, LT David Bakhtiari, DT Kenny Clark, LOLB Za’Darius Smith, LOLB Rashan Gary, CB Jaire Alexander,
Vikings (8 to 5) – HB Dalvin Cook, WR Adam Thielan, WR Justin Jefferson, LE Danielle Hunter, DT Michael Pierce, LOLB Anthony Barr, MLB Eric Kendricks, SS Harrison Smith
Buccaneers (9 to 8) – QB Tom Brady, WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, LG Ali Marpet, RT Tristian Wirfs, LOLB Shaqul Barrett, MLB Lavonte David, MLB Devin White, CB Carlton Davis
Falcons (3 to 2) – WR Calvin Ridley, TE Kyle Pitt, DT Grady Jarrett
Panthers (3) – HB Christian Mccaffrey, WR DJ Moore, LE Brian Burns
Saints (8 to 3) – HB Alvin Kamara, WR Michael Thomas, WR Allen Robinson, RT Ryan Ramczyk, LE Cameron Jordan, DT David Onyemata, RE Marcus Davenport, MLB Demario Davis,
49ers (4) – QB Trey Lance, TE George Kittle, RE Nick Bosa, MLB Fred Warner
Cardinals (8 to 6) – Kyler Murray, HB Nyheim Hines, WR DeAndre Hopkins, C Rodney Hudson, LE JJ Watt, LOLB Chandler Jones, ROLB Isaiah Simmons, SS Budda Baker
Rams (6 to 2) – QB Matthew Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp, LT Andrew Whitworth, DT Aaron Donald, CB Jalen Ramsey, K Johnny Hekker
Seahawks (5) – QB Russell Wilson, WR Julio Jones, WR D.K Metcalf, MLB Bobby Wagner, SS Jamal Adams
No Losses: Patriots, Browns, Chiefs, Panthers, 49ers, Seahawks
1 Loss: Bengals, Steelers, Texans, Titans, Chargers, Football Team, Bears, Lions, Packers, Buccaneers, Falcons,
2 Losses: Bills, Ravens, Colts, Jaguars, Raiders, Cardinals,
3 Losses: Jets, Broncos, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings,
4: Losses: Eagles, Rams
5: Losses: Dolphins, Saints,
Highest Total: Packers, Buccaneers, with 8
Lowest Total: Titans, Texans with 1
As you can see the randomness of this regression is highly misunderstood. It completely makes no sense why some teams have no superstars that regressed while other teams have up to 5. The Dolphins and the Saints were hit the hardest while the Buccaneers and Packers were the most fortunate teams in the end losing only one but still being at the top in total superstars. The Chiefs were the luckiest of the unchanged as they had 6 superstars to begin with as most of the unchanged only had 3 to start. This is it for regression and it will be interesting to see if any motions are brought up that involve changing the way this works.
